Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 298.355180 338.424441 383.238586 437.328027 501.178663 574.564128 665.882515
2025-01-26 247.412739 301.880264 368.653616 457.622995 574.717813 725.946595 940.010811
2025-02-02 222.856366 285.656580 367.651905 484.836094 651.875357 887.640718 1257.385336
2025-02-09 197.480756 262.555208 351.633212 485.982533 689.917399 999.255558 1528.011302
2025-02-16 174.442912 238.678189 329.963263 473.754701 703.620769 1074.124718 1756.627827
2025-02-23 156.907892 220.053562 312.752274 464.463904 718.505373 1151.362232 2006.771576
2025-03-02 147.430119 211.896070 309.658620 475.991959 768.174757 1296.007330 2421.482861
2025-03-09 136.806541 200.705940 300.299350 475.460258 796.196811 1406.379097 2800.441508
2025-03-16 125.783154 187.727346 286.521106 465.242865 804.423317 1479.631915 3120.886161
2025-03-23 118.301550 179.647661 279.800829 466.298684 833.649425 1600.828281 3594.908276
2025-03-30 109.794926 169.114787 267.841928 456.160416 838.894672 1671.622756 3966.749635
2025-04-06 103.632697 161.953595 260.952285 454.546506 861.102298 1784.974770 4498.559275
2025-04-13 94.696986 149.589971 244.150233 432.554500 838.168455 1791.253219 4733.998017
2025-04-20 92.655339 148.977142 248.384399 452.715673 911.451104 2052.939535 5900.500181
2025-04-27 91.569607 149.907164 255.465707 479.560828 1005.343127 2396.702737 7565.989801
2025-05-04 87.339302 144.817013 250.677554 480.692035 1037.979081 2581.636031 8760.457522
2025-05-11 81.962523 137.228640 240.403458 468.628076 1035.573996 2663.638665 9585.010400
2025-05-18 77.378817 130.799771 231.872992 459.461135 1039.181531 2766.036886 10581.342101
2025-05-25 75.330507 128.988223 232.361435 470.835424 1099.608606 3070.920859 12830.790588
2025-06-01 72.234219 124.951901 227.981293 470.310834 1127.321641 3275.611377 14751.276414
2025-06-08 68.466983 119.374021 219.981241 460.229734 1126.105810 3377.878727 16179.566568
2025-06-15 65.993259 116.171842 216.699552 461.271502 1157.882283 3615.194506 18751.809755
2025-06-22 62.728470 111.205241 209.301240 451.267852 1154.627289 3716.169284 20506.003650